A recent survey of the people there shows that the younger generations are in favor of capitalism, whilst the older prefer the old communist system.
It was part of the old USSR and the plan is for a pro Russian puppet gov put in by Putin. No pun intended.
Will it happen, quite possible.
Will the west go to war over it, very doubtful, no sensible country wants war now.
So we sit and wait while the polis from the west sit in their wet undies in the hope nothing will happen.